Following the Israeli aggression on Gaza

  • السبت 13 اغسطس 2022 11:51 ص

Following the Israeli aggression on Gaza

 

Translate: Nashwa Abu Amer

Following the Israeli aggression on Gaza within three days, a number of possible scenarios appear for the reality of possible Israeli behavior towards the resistance in the Strip, the most important of which is the increasing Palestinian and Israeli, and even regional and international assessments, that the current ceasefire in Gaza seems fragile, in light of the ambiguity of the agreement nature by the two sides to stop the confrontation and the possibility of the occupation regressing from what was agreed upon with the mediators.

The situation in the Gaza Strip, a few days after the cessation of aggression, is witnessing a cautious calm, with a series of Israeli threats regarding maintaining the military alert as it is on the southern front, meaning that in the event of a "precious catch" of senior resistance leaders, it may not hesitate to assassinate them, which means returning to the circle of armed confrontation

The ceasefire is likely to withstand a limited and indefinite period, given that the two sides need this calm. The resistance seeks to rebuild what has been destroyed by Israel's war in Gaza, and the occupation is preparing for its fifth early election in November, especially considering the latest aggression to be his electoral propaganda to the voters.

There is a possibility that the situation will remain between the relative calm and the blitz as it has been in Gaza for years that will keep the resistance and occupation together in a state of mutual attrition and this may give a green light for the beginning of the countdown to the future military confrontation.

In fact, there are many factors that may propel one of the above scenarios, at the same time there are a number of brakes that may cause none to materialize, and therefore the situation in Gaza does not carry much stability owing to the overlapping and often conflicting interests of many parties in the Palestinian arena.

These possibilities suggest that the resistance may be concerned with stabilizing the state of calm into a period of time that will give it a warrior's break, give way to reconstruction projects and provide the capacity to restore its military capabilities.

The occupation Power, which is in a state of governmental instability, and partisan polarization, and readiness for the upcoming elections may prompt their decision-making constituencies to agree on a continued calm in Gaza Both because of growing threats from other fronts, which seem more critical and dangerous than Gaza or not to adversely affect the future of their normative relations with Arab States, most importantly their desire to absorb Palestinian anger, at least temporarily!

 

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